INP-WealthPk

$397m current account surplus signals economic resilience

February 20, 2024

Qudsia Bano

In a significant economic breakthrough, Pakistan has declared a current account surplus of $397 million for December 2023, showcasing a positive turn in the nation's financial landscape. This development is not only a numerical milestone but also signifies the effectiveness of strategic economic policies and resilience in the face of global challenges, WealthPK reports. The surplus, witnessed since June 2023, testifies to the success of targeted government initiatives. Notably, the containment of trade deficit by 25.5% and 23.5% on MoM and YoY bases, coupled with a surge in exports by 14.1% YoY and 5.1% MoM, underscores a robust economic strategy. This positive trajectory is attributed to a revival in domestic economic activities and increased demand for Pakistani goods in the international markets. Talking to WealthPK, Hamid Haroon, former economist at the World Bank, said, “Crucially, this economic success story extends beyond statistics to impact individual sectors. Manufacturing, agriculture, and services industries are experiencing notable shifts, with opportunities emerging amid a changing economic landscape.”

“In the manufacturing sector, a surge in exports reflects a noteworthy response to the global demand. The industry's ability to meet the international market needs showcases its adaptability and responsiveness to shifting economic dynamics. Moreover, the sector's resilience is evident in its capacity to navigate challenges and leverage opportunities arising from a revitalized domestic economic environment,” said Hamid. “Similarly, the agriculture sector, a key pillar of Pakistan's economy, is experiencing notable changes. The sector's ability to adapt to the evolving circumstances is evident in its response to increased demand and changing market conditions. These shifts underscore the sector's resilience, contributing to the overall economic narrative,” said Hamid. Importantly, the current account surplus provides a solid foundation for future economic endeavors. The surplus, along with well-calibrated policies, not only strengthens Pakistan's economic position but also fosters an environment conducive to sustained growth. The surplus acts as a financial cushion, allowing Pakistan to navigate global uncertainties and potential challenges effectively.

Global comparisons also highlight the uniqueness of Pakistan's economic landscape. While learning valuable lessons from the global economic trends, Pakistan showcases specific strengths and challenges. Speaking to WealthPK, Ana Syed, Director at the State Bank of Pakistan, said, “Global comparisons underscore the distinctiveness of Pakistan's economic landscape. By studying global economic trends, Pakistan gains valuable insights into effective strategies and potential pitfalls.” She said, “Acknowledging the nation's specific strengths and challenges is crucial for crafting tailored economic policies. This global perspective not only enriches understanding but also positions Pakistan advantageously in the international economic arena.” “The recognition of unique attributes allows policymakers to leverage the nation's strengths and address challenges strategically, fostering an environment conducive to sustained economic growth and global competitiveness. Ultimately, this global perspective serves as a guiding compass for Pakistan to navigate the intricacies of international economic stage,” Ana said.

inpCredit: INP-WealthPk